Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Blue River, Cariboos, Clearwater, Clemina, North Monashee, Premier, Quesnel.
Human-triggered avalanches are very likely.
The new Forecaster Blog outlines how to manage changing conditions.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A few large avalanches have been reported in the region on Saturday. Several smaller Na and human-triggered avalanches were reported since Friday.
Expect avalanche activity to continue through the forecast period.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 40 cm of snow has fallen on a variety of old surfaces. There is surface hoar, more prevalent around treeline and below, a crust on sun-facing slopes, and 20 to 30 cm of low-density faceted snow in sheltered areas.
Dry January conditions have created a weak, faceted upper snowpack with multiple surface hoar and crust layers. The new snow will likely not bond well with these layers.
The mid and lower snowpack remains generally well-settled and strong.
Weather Summary
Saturday night
Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -16 °C.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy. 10 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -20 °C.
Monday
Mostly cloudy. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -22 °C.
Tuesday
Scattered cloud. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -20 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for human triggerable storm slabs at lower elevations, even on small features.
- The best and safest riding will be on slopes that have soft snow without any slab properties.
- Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm slabs are primed for triggering.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Very Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3