Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 12th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jleblanc, Avalanche Canada

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Persistent slabs remain prime for human-triggered avalanches, especially at treeline.

Choose low-consequence terrain and avoid shallow areas where triggering is more likely.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Large avalanches continue to surprise skiers across the region. On Monday, large slabs (up to size 2) were remotely triggered from a distance, indicating a touchy snowpack over a persistent weak layer. Many groups recently traveling in the backcountry have also reported signs of instability like whumpfing and shooting cracks.

For more information, click on the photos below.

Snowpack Summary

Expect to find up to 25 cm of settled snow in wind-sheltered and shady areas. This snow covers wind-affected surfaces or a crust on sun-exposed slopes and at lower elevations. A layer of weak, faceted crystals over a crust, or surface hoar, is the primary layer of concern, buried around 40 to 80 cm.

A sun crust may have formed on the surface on steep south and west-facing slopes, and snow will be heavier and possibly moist or crusty at lower elevations.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with 2 cm of new snow expected. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around -4 °C. Freezing level returning to valley bottom.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 2 cm of new snow expected. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1200 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of new snow expected. 50 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around +2 °C. Freezing level around 1800 m.

Friday

Cloudy with no precipitation, 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around +5 °C. Freezing level rising to 2200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Approach steep open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Several recent avalanches in the region continue to be triggered on a layer of buried surface hoar or weak, sugary facets overlying a crust. Avoid shallow areas where triggering these avalanches is most likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Forecasted winds will continue to develop fresh, reactive slabs in leeward terrain. If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger than expected avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 13th, 2024 4:00PM