Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 11th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada jleblanc, Avalanche Canada

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Dangerous avalanche conditions will develop with the ongoing storm.

Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy rain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported this weekend with limited travel and visibility in the mountains. Please continue to post your observations and photos to the Mountain Information Network. It helps strengthen our data gathering.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25 mm of recent moist snow is found at upper treeline and above, siting on melt-freeze crust down upper 1200 m. The upper snowpack consists of moist snow overlying a few decomposing crusts formed early January and late December. Below treeline, the snowpack is saturated.

Weather Summary

A strong frontal system will lead a stalled atmospheric river over Coast Mountains through Friday night, bringing heavy precipitation and high freezing levels.

Wednesday night

Cloudy, snow 10-15 cm at higher elevations only, moderate southeasterly winds gusting 60 km/h, freezing levels rising to 1800 m, high of +3C at treeline.

Thursday

Stormy, 40-60 mm of rain, strong southeasterly winds gusting 65 km/h, freezing levels around 2000 m, high of +4C at treeline. 50-75 mm overnight.

Friday

Stormy, 30-60 mm of rain, moderate southeasterly winds gusting 65 km/h, freezing levels around 2000 m, high of +4C at treeline.

Saturday

Rain 20-30 mm ending by midday, moderate southwesterly winds gusting 30 km/h, freezing levels dropping to 1500 m, high of -3C at treeline.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • As surface loses cohesion due to melting, loose wet avalanches become common in steeper terrain.
  • Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

At upper elevations, overnight snow amounts will develop touchy storm slabs, especially on leeward terrain features where deposits are deep. Large natural avalanches are likely, particularly when wet snow will change into heavy rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Forecasted rain will likely destabilize the snowpack and create loose wet avalanches on steep slopes. Watch for unstable snow on specific terrain features, especially when the snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2023 4:00PM