Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 11th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada zryan, Avalanche Canada

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Make conservative terrain choices. Storm snow may remain reactive to human triggering at higher elevations.

Reduce your exposure to avalanche terrain if the temperature is above 0°C.

Summary

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday in Pine Pass, a natural size 1 wind slab was observed on a northeast aspect in the alpine. A second-hand report of skier-triggered size 2 was also reported. This avalanche occurred on the peak above the T-bar at Powder King. Read this MIN report for full details.

Human-triggered avalanches remain likely at higher elevations.

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Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have likely stripped available snow from south and west-facing slopes, redistributing it onto north and east-facing terrain features.

A layer of surface hoar can be found around 30-50 cm deep. This is most concerning in wind-loaded features.

A crust with sugary facets beneath it can be found just above the ground. The snowpack is still shallow for this time of year. Average snowpack depths at treeline range from 65 to 90 cm.

Weather Summary

Monday night

A mix of sun and cloud with no precipitation. Alpine wind 40 to 60 km/h from the west. Treeline temperatures around -7 C.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy with no precipitation. Alpine wind 50 to 100 km/h from the southwest. Treeline temperatures around -1 C with the potential for an above freezing layer to develop in the alpine.

Wednesday

Cloudy with a mix of rain and snow at lower elevations, up to 5 cm of new snow accumulation above 1000 meters. Alpine wind 60 to 100 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -2 C.

Thursday

Mainly clear. Alpine wind 15 to 30 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -6 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Extra caution for areas experiencing rapidly warming temperatures for the first time.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

The greatest reactivity may be found in wind-loaded areas where slabs overlie surface hoar. Consider the potential for remotely-triggering slopes above and adjacent to you.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 12th, 2023 4:00PM