Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Akamina, Bull, Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South, Elkford East, Elkford West, South Rockies.
Surface crust distribution is variable in its supportiveness; moist snow in the upper snowpack is slow to refreeze. Watch out for areas where a supportive melt-freeze crust hasn't formed.
Confidence
Moderate
Snowpack Summary
Recent snow buries a widespread surface crust that becomes more supportive as you gain elevation.
Refrozen and moist snow can be found in the upper snowpack, depending on elevation, which overlies a settled mid-pack.
In the lower snowpack, a persistent weak layer of facets remains a concern where there is no supportive melt-freeze crust.
Weather Summary
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries, 2 to 5 cm. 10 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.
Sunday
Partly cloudy. 10 to 15 km/h northeast wind. Treeline temperatures -6 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.
Monday
Partly cloudy, isolated flurries 2 cm. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.
Tuesday
Partly cloudy, isolated flurries 1 to 3 cm. 10 to 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
- Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
Where a melt-freeze crust has developed, this layer will be difficult to trigger. With uncertain freezing levels, areas of concern are steep, rocky terrain, where there is no melt-freeze crust.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5
Loose Wet
Recent snow will lose cohesion with even short windows of sun and rising freezing levels. The upper snowpack remains moist in some areas and could release if the melt-freeze crust breaks down.
Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 1.5