Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 31st, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

Email

Numerous rider triggered avalanches have been reported in recent days.

Choose conservative terrain and avoid overhead hazards.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Numerous rider triggered storm slab avalanches up to size 1.5 were reported on all aspects, primarily in the alpine near Fernie on Saturday.

Additionally, a naturally triggered size 1.5 wind slab avalanche was reported in the alpine.

Here's one recent example from the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Strong solar radiation has formed a surface crust everywhere except north facing terrian at upper elevations.

30-40 cm of recent snow overlies a crust on all but north facing aspects in the alpine.

A persistent weak layer of facets are sitting on top of a second buried crust down 100 to 180 cm. This layer is unlikely to human trigger in areas where a thick crust below the recent snow is present. However, steep or convex terrain features with a shallow or thin to thick snowpack at treeline and above are the most likely places where it may be possible to trigger this layer with large loads.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Clear skies. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2° C. Freezing level 1700 m.

Monday

Sunny. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4° C. Freezing level 2500 m.

Tuesday

Sunny. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 7° C. Freezing level 3000 m.

Wednesday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, 0 to 5 cm snow. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0° C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Check out the Mountain Weather Forecast for additional weather information.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
  • The more the snowpack warms-up and weakens, the more conservative you`ll want to be with your terrain selection.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

30 to 40 cm of recent snow has formed storm slabs that are reactive to human triggers, especially in wind affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Rapid warming increases the likelihood of triggering very large avalanches on deeply buried weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Expect the high freezing levels and sunshine to trigger wet loose avalanches on all but true north aspects in the alpine.

Aspects: North East, East, South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Apr 1st, 2024 4:00PM

Login