Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 9th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada TT, Avalanche Canada

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Fresh snow and increasing winds have the potential to create small wind slabs at the ridge crest. Deeper instabilities still lurk within the snowpack, presenting themselves in the form of localized whumpfing and cracking.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or reported in the last couple of days. However, our field team reported widespread whumpfing at tree line and alpine areas on Tuesday in the Icefields area. On Monday, the field team triggered a size 1.5 persistent slab on a south aspect at tree line.

Snowpack Summary

5 - 10 cm of recent snow sits over a variable, breakable crust. This crust is 1-3cm thick on shaded aspects, and up to a 15-20cm thick on solar aspects. Big, connected, and sunny tree line features are the most troublesome. Persistent and deep persistent weak layers remain ever-present and active. Do not trust either of these layers.

Weather Summary

Saturday: A Pacific System will begin spreading cloud from the Northwest with isolated flurries developing in the afternoon. Ridgetop winds 25-30 km/h. Freezing levels at valley bottom.

Sunday:Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Freezing level: 1700 metres.

The Mountain Weather Forecast is available at Avalanche Canada https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Our recent melt-freeze cycle was not strong enough to heal our persistent slab problem. This weak layer, buried 20-40cm deep, is still reactive in snowpit tests and human triggering remains possible, particularly in shallow rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The base of the snowpack is inherently weak and untrustworthy. Human and natural triggering of these basal facets remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 10th, 2024 4:00PM

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