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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 7th, 2024–Mar 8th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high

As the incoming storm builds and snowfall amounts begin to exceed 20 cm, plan to seek low angle and conservative terrain free of overhead hazard.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Other than small loose snow sluffing, no new avalanches were reported either Wednesday or Tuesday. On Monday, size 1-1.5 naturally triggered avalanches were observed in specific features. Recent avalanches have been failing on within the recent storm snow (35-50 cm deep), or deeper on buried crusts farther inland.

We suspect , that reactivity may persist in specific areas like steep terrain or on wind loaded features.

Snowpack Summary

In addition to new surface hoar growing in sheltered, especially shaded areas, light wind effect may be found on the surface in some terrain, creating deeper deposits around ridgelines.

Otherwise, over 100 cm of recent storm snow appears to be settling and bonding well to the widespread crust below it. Below this crust, 40 - 70 cm of previous storm snow in some areas sits on a strengthening layer of pellet-like graupel over an earlier crust.

The lower snowpack is well consolidated. While the recent snow has improved travel conditions at lower elevations, many obstacles, such as stumps and rocks lurk just below the surface.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Becoming cloudy. 30-60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 600 m.

Friday

Cloudy increasing snowfall bringing 20-40 cm of new snow, 40-80 km/h southwest alpine wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C with freezing level to 800 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with heavy snowfall bringing 30-50 cm of new snow, continuing overnight. 50-60 km/h southwest alpine wind. Treeline temperature around -2 °C with freezing level rising to 1200 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with continuing heavy snowfall bringing 30-50 cm of new snow and 2-day totals of 100-150 cm. 40-60 km/h southwest alpine wind. Treeline temperature -4°C with freezing level around 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

A new and building storm slab is forming over a variety of surfaces. Watch for deeper and more reactive slabs near ridgelines on north aspect terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5