Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 19th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs, Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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As precipitation piles up, danger increases with it. With storms this dramatic, it is a great time to avoid avalanche terrain until things calm down.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous size 1 skier triggered storm and wind slab avalanches were reported over the weekend, including in the Powell River area.

These avalanches were typically at treeline or above on north and east aspects. Reports indicate that the recent storm snow is not bonding well to the underlying weak layers as these avalanches were easy to trigger.

Snowpack Summary

New snow falls on 15 to 25 cm of snow from the weekend, which fell with southerly wind, forming deeper slabs on northerly aspects. In sheltered terrain this new snow may overlie soft, faceted snow or surface hoar. In exposed terrain it will overlie a sun crust or wind-affected snow.

At lower elevations a new crust likely exists below the storm snow.

A late-January weak layer (hard crust, facets, or surface hoar) is buried 80 to 120 cm deep, this layer could become reactive the more the precipitation adds load on it.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 20 to 50 mm of mixed precipitation. 25 to 40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1300 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 mm of mixed precipitation. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1200 m.

Friday

Cloudy with 20 to 50 mm of mixed precipitation. 40 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1500 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with 50 to 100 mm of mixed precipitation. 40 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 2000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

The recent storm snow is not bonding well to the underlying weak layers. This problem is most prevelant at treeline and above in wind loaded features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Warming temperatures combined with precipitation will increase likelihood of wet loose avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Increased load on the January drought layer may cause it to become active again. Small storm avalanches may step down to this layer.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 20th, 2025 4:00PM

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