Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 11th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

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Dangerous and challenging avalanche conditions exist. Uncertainty is best managed by choosing simple, low-angle terrain and avoiding being under steep slopes.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several size 2 human-triggered avalanches were reported over the weekend. They occurred both within storm snow layers (40 to 60 cm deep) and on the persistent weak layer (100 cm deep). Riders also reported whumpfing and cracking.

Snowpack Summary

Storm slabs will grow with another pulse of snow and wind expected on Tuesday. Recent storm totals are now 40 to 60 cm, with alpine terrain heavily wind-affected. Storm snow covers a variety of layers including surface hoar in isolated shady areas.

A weak layer composed of facets on a crust is buried 80 to 150 cm deep. This layer remains sensitive to both human and natural triggers and is capable of producing large avalanches.

The lower snowpack is well-settled and strong.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with 2 to 10 cm of snow. 45 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with scattered flurries throughout the morning with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Wednesday

Mix of sun and cloud. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C with freezing level rising to 1500 m.

Thursday

Mostly sunny. 15 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +4 °C with freezing level rising to 3000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low-angle, well-supported terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow and wind will form reactive slabs on Monday night. Slabs will be widespread in areas that receive more than 20 cm of new snow, while other areas will primarily have slabs on wind-loaded slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers are most concerning at treeline elevations. Small slab avalanches may step down to this layer resulting in large, destructive avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Mar 12th, 2024 4:00PM