Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 17th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Cornices and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada mbender, Avalanche Canada

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Avalanche Danger will increase as the temperature rises through the day and the sun impacts slopes facing the sun.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Several large (size 2) natural slab avalanches were reported near Fernie on Thursday. The group observed the avalanches release when the sun hit open alpine slopes.

If you head out in the backcountry, let us know what you are seeing by submitting a report to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

20-40 cm of dense, wind-affected storm snow falling earlier in the week in the alpine tapers to a rain crust below 1400 m. This storm snow may sit on a sun crust on solar slopes and small surface hoar in sheltered, shaded areas.

The mid-snowpack is generally well-settled. The lower snowpack includes a layer of weak sugary crystals near the ground. This layer has not produced recent avalanche activity.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Mainly clear. Treeline temperature -9 °C. Wind light southwest. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Saturday

Mainly sunny with cloudy periods. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Wind light southwest. Freezing level rising to1800-2000m.

Sunday

Mix of sun and cloud. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Wind light southwest. Freezing level rising to 2000m.

Monday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Wind light east. Freezing level 1400m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southwest winds have redistributed snow from earlier in the week to build wind slabs in alpine and treeline lees.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

The full impact of the march sun may weaken cornices.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Steep rocky terrain facing the sun is likely to see thin loose wet avalanches release during the heat of the day.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 18th, 2023 4:00PM

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