Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 26th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs that overlie faceted snow could remain surprisingly reactive to human triggers. Err on the side of caution when evaluating older slabs, especially near shallow, rocky areas.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Skiers remote-triggered a large wind slab from 100 m away in the Little Simpson area on Hudson Bay Mountain on Monday. It failed on faceted snow, a reminder that persistent grains may extend the reactivity of wind slabs.

Up north, a 40 cm-deep layer of surface hoar on the early-December crust was recently reactive to skiers in the Ningunsaw area. The Ningunsaw slide path produced size 2.5 and size 3 avalanches on Monday and Tuesday night.

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Snowpack Summary

Light new snow amounts have been combining with an aging wind slab problem and with otherwise heavily wind affected surfaces in the alpine and at treeline.

The crust from early December is now buried approximately 30 to 50 cm deep. In some areas, large surface hoar crystals are found at this interface. We are trying to track the distribution of this surface hoar across the region. Faceted snow is perhaps more likely to find at this interface and poses a similar problem.

The are no layers of concerns below the early December crust.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Cloudy with scattered flurries and less than 5 cm of new snow. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Friday

Partly cloudy. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Saturday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Sunday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. 5 to 10 km/h southeast ridgetop wind shifting southwest. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests, rollovers, and in steep terrain.
  • Seek out wind sheltered terrain below treeline where you can avoid wind slabs and find great riding.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Continuing light snowfall and southerly winds are promoting wind slab formation on an ongoing basis.

Investigate for wind slab around ridges or lee features and use wide safety margins - remote triggering has been observed.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Periods of sun could destabilize snow on steep, south facing slopes. Recent snow may shed naturally or with a human trigger.

Aspects: South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Dec 27th, 2024 4:00PM

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