Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 28th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada wlewis, Avalanche Canada

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Reactive wind slabs can be found on all aspects

Small avalanches may step down to weak layers, producing larger avalanches than you may expect.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Natural wind slab activity continues to be reported, along with natural persistent slabs to size 1.5 in below treeline areas near Ningunsaw.

We expect natural activity to taper off, but human triggering still remains possible.

Snowpack Summary

20-50 cm of recent, wind-affected snow sits over a variety of weak surfaces including facets, or surface hoar over a crust in sheltered areas - all of which will be slow to bond.

Another layer of weak, faceted crystals and a crust are buried 40-70 cm deep. Check out this MIN for a great snowpack summary from Hankin on Tuesday.

The lower snowpack is generally well-bonded and strong.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy. 20-30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -18 °C. Isolated flurries possible.

Thursday

Partly cloudy with possible flurries. 30-40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures vary from -8 °C in the south, to -12 °C in the north.

Friday

Partly cloudy with possible flurries. 30-50 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around -10 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy with possible flurries. 30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures around -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Watch for wind loading near ridgelines, and in features like cross-loaded gullies or ribs

The most reactive slabs will likely form on north/east facing slopes. Old slabs on other aspects may remain triggerable as they sit over weak layers

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Weak sugary facets or surface hoar on a hard crust could still be human-triggerable, most likely in north facing terrain features where facets are most easily preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 29th, 2024 4:00PM