Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Harrison-Fraser, North Shore, Powell River, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, South Coast, Stave, Tetrahedron.
Storm slabs may need another day to bond at upper elevations.
Pay attention to changing conditions with elevation and aspect.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches were reported aside from some minor sluffing during periods of heavy rain. Observations have been very limited in the region.
Looking forward, storm slabs are expected to be reactive to human-triggering at upper elevations.
If you head into the backcountry, please consider submitting a MIN report.
Snowpack Summary
Stormy conditions and fluctuating freezing levels over the past few days have deposited over 100 mm of rain in parts of the region at lower elevations, with snow up high. An additional 15 to 30 cm of snow is expected to fall overnight above 1200 m before we get a break from the storm on Wednesday. The new snow has likely formed reactive storm slabs that should bond fairly quickly, but may need another day or two to bond. Slabs are expected to be most reactive in wind-loaded terrain at upper elevations. Otherwise, the snowpack is strong and bonded. At lower elevations, the snowpack is rain-saturated and thins out quickly.
Weather Summary
Tuesday Night
Cloudy with 15 to 30 cm of snow above 1200 m, potential rain below. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1400 m falling to 1100 m.
Wednesday
Cloudy. 20 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with 30 to 60 mm of heavy rain up to 1600 m, potential snow above. 50 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level rising to 1800 m.
Friday
Partly cloudy, with isolated flurries to 5 cm. 10 to 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level rising to 1200 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Use small, low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
- If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.
- Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm slabs are expected to be most reactive in wind affected terrain at upper elevations. Cornices may be large and fragile, give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Loose Wet
Wet loose avalanches will be possible when the snow surface is wet or moist. Use good sluff management techniques.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 1.5