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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 31st, 2024–Feb 1st, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Start on small slopes, and check for signs of instability before committing to steep or high-consequence terrain.

Riding conditions and avalanche problems will change with elevation.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Wednesday before 4 pm.

On Sunday and Monday, numerous small to large (up to size 2) naturally triggered avalanches were reported across the forecast area in steep, north and east-facing alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Expect to find 5-10 cm of soft, dry snow on the surface in sheltered areas of the alpine, shallower and more moist at treeline. A thin frozen crust exists near the surface. Moderate to strong wind has formed reactive wind slabs on north through east-facing terrain, and exposed the crust on windward terrain.

At around 1000 m and below, the snowpack is shallower (around 50 cm) and likely isothermal. If you stand in it, your foot sinks right to the ground.

A variety of previously concerning weak layers buried from early to mid-January can be found 30 - 80 cm below the snow surface. As the temperature cools after warm temperatures and rain, these layers appear to be strengthening.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy. 2-5 cm of snow expected above 1000 m. Moderate southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline low around -1 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy. Very light rain expected, snow above 1500 m. Moderate ridgetop wind, shifting from SW to SE. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy. Very light rain and snow expected as freezing level drops to valley bottom. Strong southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline low around -7 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Light to moderate northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -10 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • The more the snow feels like a slurpy, the more likely loose wet avalanches will become.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

In areas where wind has formed dense pockets of snow below ridge crests, rolls, and in cross-loaded gullies, human-triggered avalanches could be possible. At treeline, this problem is isolated to steep, rocky, alpine-like features.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Use caution when encountering moist or wet snow in steep areas or gullies.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5