Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 13th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Loose Wet, Cornices and Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

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Sudden warming and sun will cause a natural avalanche cycle on Thursday. Avoid avalanche terrain.

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Over the past few days there have been several small (size 1) storm slab and wet loose avalanches.

Looking forward, warming will cause large wet loose, cornice, and slab avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Sudden warming on Thursday will cause moist surfaces on all but the highest north-facing terrain.

Roughly 30 to 50 cm of storm snow from the past few days has been settling, and may still be poorly bonded in higher elevations that have stayed cooler over the past few days.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Clearing skies. 25 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

Thursday

Mostly sunny. 25 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +5 °C with freezing level climbing to 3000 m by midday.

Friday

Mostly sunny. 15 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +10 °C with freezing level climbing to 3500 m.

Saturday

Sunny. 40 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +14 °C with freezing level sustained at 3500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of intense solar radiation.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard, especially solar aspects.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • Only the most simple non-avalanche terrain free of overhead hazard is appropriate at this time.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Sudden warming will produce widespread wet loose avalanches, especially on steep sun-exposed slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely - Certain

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Heat and sun will weaken overhanging cornices.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2.5 - 3

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Warming could also trigger slabs in the top 30 to 50 cm of recent storm snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 14th, 2024 4:00PM

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