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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 29th, 2024–Jan 30th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Start on small slopes, and check for signs of instability before committing to steep or high-consequence terrain.

Riding conditions and avalanche problems will change with elevation.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, numerous large (up to size 2) naturally triggered avalanches were reported across the forecast area in steep, north and east-facing alpine terrain.

Looking ahead to Tuesday, we expect that natural avalanches will be less likely, but human-triggered avalanches will remain possible.

Snowpack Summary

Freezing levels drop and 10 -15 cm of new snow is expected in the alpine. Treeline will see shallower, denser snow, and rain continues below treeline. This falls on a mostly moist or wet upper snowpack. except for high alpine elevations where deeper dry snow may still be found.

Storm snow amounts over the last week have varied across the region, generally 25-40 cm. On north and east faces storm slabs may be thicker due to recent winds. The storm snow may be poorly bonded to a crust formed in early January that extends up to treeline elevations.

Two deeper surface hoar layers exist. These layers have become dormant and unlikely to trigger.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy. 10-15 cm of snow expected above 1250 m. Moderate southeast ridgetop wind trending to strong southwest by the morning. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy. Trace of snow above 1250 m. Strong to extreme southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 0°C.

Wednesday

Cloudy. Light snow in the morning turning to light rain below 1750 m in the afternoon. Strong southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 2 °C.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. 5 cm of snow expected above 1500 m. Moderate south or southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around 1 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Loose avalanches may start small but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • The more the snow feels like a slurpy, the more likely loose wet avalanches will become.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will be more reactive at or near ridge crests on north through east faces where wind deposited snow will be thicker.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Use caution when encountering moist or wet snow in steep areas or gullies.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5