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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 25th, 2024–Jan 26th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Closely monitor conditions as you gain elevation. Up high, where precipitation may have fallen as snow, rider triggerable storm slabs are likely.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Observations from alpine terrain in this forecast region have been limited. We suspect that natural avalanches have been occurring at high elevations where precipitation has been falling as snow.

Snowpack Summary

In high alpine terrain recent precipitation may have fallen as snow and formed storm and wind slabs. At treeline the majority of recent precipitation has fallen as rain , with fluctuating freezing levels a mix of heavy snow and crusts could be found. Below treeline the snowpack is saturated and disappearing.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with around 10 mm of mixed precipitation expected, south alpine wind 30 to 50 km/h, freezing level around 1400 m.

Friday

Cloudy with up to 30 mm of mixed precipitation expected, south alpine wind 30 to 50 km/h, freezing level rising to 2000 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with up to 40 mm of rain expected, south alpine wind 40 to 70 km/h, freezing level rising to 2500 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with up to 100 mm of rain expected, south alpine wind 50 to 70 km/h, freezing level rising  to 2800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Choose conservative terrain and watch for clues of instability.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Heavy snowfall with strong winds overnight and through the day will create fresh storm slabs. Expect deeper and touchier slabs on north aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches will be possible in steep terrain where the snow surface is wet. They will be largest at treeline where precipitation may initially fall as snow and then switch to rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5