Avalanche Forecast
Regions: North Shore, Powell River, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, South Coast, Stave, Tetrahedron.
Danger is expected to rise Thursday afternoon with the arrival of strong winds, rain, and snowfall at higher elevations.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
New avalanche problems will develop Thursday afternoon, with wind slabs forming above the snow line and wet loose avalanches below.
A few small (size 1) skier-triggered slabs were reported on Mount Seymour on Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
Climbing freezing levels are turning recent snow wet. Freezing levels will peak near 2000 m on Thursday morning before dropping in the afternoon as a windy storm brings 10 to 20 mm of precipitation. Expect rain up to at least 1500 m, with increasing, wind-affected snowfall at higher elevations.
Lower elevations are melting out quickly.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy with 1 to 3 cm of snow above 1300 m. 40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with 10 to 20 mm of precipitation, snow possible above 1500 m. 60 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +1 °C. Freezing level drops from 2000 to 1500 m.
Friday
Partly cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.
Saturday
Mix of sun and cloud with 1 to 3 cm of snow. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avalanche danger is expected to increase throughout the day.
- Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.
- Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
Avalanche Problems
Loose Wet
Rain falling on recent snow will likely trigger wet loose avalanches. Manage sluff carefully—wet snow can entrain significant mass.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Wind Slabs
The rain-snow line is uncertain, but reactive wind slabs could form at treeline and alpine elevations.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2