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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 16th, 2023–Dec 17th, 2023
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Buried weak layers may be susceptible to human-triggering.

When in doubt, seek out low-consequence terrain for the safest riding.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday a machine triggered size 1.5 avalanche on an east aspect at treeline was reported. It may have failed on buried surface hoar.

A few natural wind slab avalanches, size 1 to 2, were reported on Thursday on the Grizzly Plateau by the field team. These avalanches triggered additional slabs at treeline. We suspect these failed on a weak layer of surface hoar buried 25cm down.

If you do go into the backcountry, consider submitting a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread wind-affected surfaces exist at higher elevations with roughly 30 cm of recent snow that has been redistributed by strong southwest alpine winds.

Two different surface hoar layers have been reported in the upper half of the snowpack and appear to be most prominent at treeline and below.

In general, the snowpack is still shallow for this time of year with snowpack depths at treeline ranging from 50 to 100 cm. Early season hazards are still a concern.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Clear with clouds increasing by morning, no accumulation, ridgetop winds southerly 15 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy, trace to 5 cm accumulation, ridgetop winds southwest 20 km/h, treeline temperature -4 °C.

Monday

Cloudy, 5 cm accumulation and continuing into the evening, ridgetop winds south southeast 20 km/h, treeline temperature -8 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, 5 to 10 cm accumulation by morning and another 5 cm throughout the day, ridgetop winds southerly light gusting to 40 km/h, treeline temperatures -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch for pockets of deeper, wind deposited snow in alpine features like ridges and gullies.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Buried layers of weak surface hoar crystals remain problematic in any areas that have enough snow to avalanche.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5