Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 15th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada trettie, Avalanche Canada

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Seek out sheltered terrain where you can avoid wind slabs. Wind slab may even be found below treeline due to outflow winds.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Rider triggered wind slabs continue to be reported in the region. Check out this MIN and this one.

Cornices have failed naturally in the alpine. Cornices may have been undermined by the atypical winds.

On Thursday, very large (size 3) slab avalanches were observed near Ningunsaw on south and west-facing slopes. These avalanches may be failing on the deeper weak layer described in the snowpack summary..

Snowpack Summary

New wind slab will likely form throughout Wednesday night. Variable winds mean that wind slab could be found on all aspects. These new slabs will overlie facets.

In sheltered areas, about 20 to 40 cm of recent snow overlies a layer of surface hoar and a crust below 1700 m.  

Near Stewart and Ningunsaw, a poorly-bonded crust about 100 cm deep may act as a weak layer.

Elsewhere, the remainder of the snowpack is reportedly strong with various hard crusts.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of new snow expected, west alpine wind 25 to 40 km/h and outflow winds at valley bottom 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -8°C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud with a few centimeters of new snow possible, east alpine wind 20 to 30 km/h and outflow wind 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -8°C.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny with trace amounts of new snow expected, northeast alpine wind 35 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature falling to -15°C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud with up to 2 cm of new snow expected, east alpine wind 25 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -15°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New wind slabs may be found on all aspects.

Near Stewart and Ningunsaw, wind slabs could fail on a buried crust, up to 100 cm deep. This is most likely in alpine areas with a shallow snowpack in wind-affected terrain; like south slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 16th, 2024 4:00PM

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