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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 27th, 2024–Jan 28th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Freezing levels are anticipated to rise to over 2500 m along with heavy rainfall.

Watch for snow becoming wet, heavy, and more reactive on the crust below.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, several size 1 to 2 skier triggered wind slab avalanches occurred in the Whistler area.

On Thursday, multiple large (size 2) avalanches occurred, both naturally and from explosive control in the Whistler area.

On Wednesday a skier triggered a size 1 wind slab on a north facing roll in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

20 to 50 cm of recent storm snow is becoming wet and settling rapidly with warming temperatures and heavy rain. This snow overlies a thick crust on all aspects and at all elevations.

The mid and lower snowpack consists of various old crusts and is generally well-settled and well-bonded.

 

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 30 to 60 mm of rain. South alpine wind, 30 to 50 km/h. Freezing level rising to 2200 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with 2 to 8 mm of rain expected during the day, up to an additional 20 mm overnight. South alpine wind, 20 to 50 km/h. Freezing level rising to 2500 m.

Monday

Cloudy with up to 10 to 50 mm of rain during the day, up to an additional 40 mm overnight. South alpine wind, 50 to 80 km/h. Freezing level 2500 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with around 5 mm of rain. Southeast alpine wind, 20 to 40 km/h. Freezing level falling to 2000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • The more the snow feels like a slurpy, the more likely loose wet avalanches will become.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches will be likely in steep terrain and where the snow surface is wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Wet Slabs

The recent storm snow will become wet and heavy as the temperatures rise and rain falls. The underlying crust will likely act as a sliding surface for the wet snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Fragile cornices could be further weakened by warm temperatures. Limit your overhead hazard during periods of rain and warming.

Aspects: North, North East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2