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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 30th, 2022–Dec 31st, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Human triggering of large, destructive avalanches remains possible. Use extra caution in shallow, rocky and wind-affected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, a large, size 3 avalanche was remotely triggered by skiers roughly 100 m away. The avalanche was on a northeast aspect at 2050 m. It ran on a weak layer (80 to 100 cm deep), before scrubbing down to the ground in steep terrain.

No reports of new avalanches have been made since Wednesday.

Please continue to post your observations and photos to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 30 cm of snow since Monday now sits overtop a melt-freeze crust. The crust is thicker and more supportive at lower elevations (roughly below 2000 m). While the crust is thin and breakable higher. The mid and lower snowpack consists of various weak layers and generally unconsolidated snow.

Snowpack depths remain highly variable, roughly 50 to 200 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Friday night

Cloudy with flurries, 2 to 5 cm. Light to moderate southwest winds. -5 C at treeline.

Saturday

Cloudy with flurries, 0 to 2 cm. Light southwest winds. -5 C at treeline.

Sunday

Sun and cloud, no precipitation. Light southwest winds. -5 to -10 C at treeline.

Monday

Sun and cloud, no precipitation. Light southeast winds. -5 to -10 C at treeline.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Strong southerly winds have redistributed 35 - 50 cm of new snow into deep, cohesive slabs at higher elevations. Small avalanches on the surface have the potential to step down to deeper weak layers creating large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The winter snowpack is not as deep as usual, and along with a cold and dry early winter, the lower snowpack consists of weak, unconsolidated facets and depth hoar crystals. With weak basal layers, a cautious approach to large open terrain features is required especially around rocky or thin areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3.5