Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Flathead, Lizard, Lizard-Flathead.
Continue to choose simple, mellow terrain. Signs of buried weak layers may be hard to find.
Watch for signs of warming and be aware of overhead hazard.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Recent explosive avalanche control and cornice fall has produced numerous storm slab avalanches up to size 2 in north through east facing alpine terrain.
Looking forward: Avalanches on buried weak layers may be difficult to trigger, but if one is triggered, it is likely to be large and destructive.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 25 cm of recent snow is settling on a widespread melt-freeze crust that exists on all sun-affected slopes, and as high as 1700 m on shaded slopes.
A weak layer of preserved surface hoar or facets from late January is buried 80 to 130 cm. This weak layer remains a concern where there is no thick, supportive crust under the recent snow.
The lower snowpack is generally well-settled and strong.
Weather Summary
Friday Night
Mainly clear. 15 to 35 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level falling to 700 m overnight.
Saturday
A mix of sun and cloud. 25 to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2000 m through the day.
Sunday
Mainly cloudy, with flurries beginning late in the day. 25 to 35 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1900 m.
Monday
Mainly cloudy with up to 15 cm of snow overnight and through the day. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
- A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
- Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
A persistent weak layer is buried 80 to 130 cm. This layer remains a concern where there is no thick, supportive crust under the recent snow.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3
Loose Wet
With spring sun and freezing levels rising to 2000 m, wet loose avalanches will be most likely where there is significant loose snow over the crust, especially on steep slopes.
Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2