Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Blue River, Cariboos, Clearwater, Clemina, North Monashee, Premier, Quesnel.
Dangerous avalanche conditions are expected.
Start with simple terrain and investigate the bond of the new snow before increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Reports have been limited during the stormy period, but widespread avalanche activity with slabs up to size 3 has been reported in the southern parts of the region. Several cornice collapses, some of which triggered slabs below, have also occurred.
On Friday, a large (size 3) persistent slab was observed near Blue River on a south-facing treeline slope.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 35 cm of new snow has accumulated, building widespread storm slabs. Lower elevations are likely moist or wet. There is a significant concern for storm slabs to step down to deeper persistent weak layers. These consist of surface hoar, facets, or a crust:
The early March layer down 50â100 cm. This is the primary weak layer of concern.
Mid-Feb & Late-Jan layers down 80â180 cm. Concern for these is in shallow or rocky areas. Otherwise, they are unlikely to trigger without a significant load like a cornice failure or storm slab in motion.
Weather Summary
Monday Night
Partly cloudy. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.
Tuesday
Cloudy with 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.
Wednesday
Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm/mm of snow or rain with snowline climbing to 2500 m by end of day. 25 to 30 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature +4 °C freezing level 2700 m.
Thursday
Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of snow or rain below 1500 m. 25 to 30 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level falling to 1700 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm slabs may still be rider-triggered. Avoid lee areas.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 3
Persistent Slabs
Persistent weak layers of surface hoar/facets or crust remain a concern in the upper 50–100 cm. Storm slab avalanches could step down to these layers, forming very large avalanches.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 4
Loose Wet
Wet loose avalanches may still be rider-triggered at lower elevations.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Below Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2