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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 27th, 2025–Mar 28th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The snowpack is complex, with large avalanches reported recently. Complex conditions are best managed by choosing simple, conservative terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Many size 2 to 3 persistent slab avalanches were reported on the Mountain Information Network over the weekend (see photos). This includes several slabs triggered by riders, including remotely. The AvCan field team observed some large natural slabs at Seaton that likely occurred on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Wind has modified surfaces and formed slabs in lee features. A crust is found up to 1500 m and higher on solar slopes. A layer of surface hoar is now buried 30 to 50 cm deep, and found in the alpine and on aspects that are not exposed to sunlight.

Another layer of facets, surface hoar and/or a crust buried in mid-February is 40 to 80 cm below the snow surface and has been reactive in snowpack tests.

Deeper in the snowpack, a weak layer of facets and a crust from early December can be found. This layer appears to be dormant but is still worth keeping in mind in thin snowpack areas in the alpine.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mix of stars and cloud. Gusts to 70 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C. Freezing level to valley bottom.

Friday

Increasing clouds. 30 to 40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Sunday

Sunny. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rocky outcrops, and steep terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Facets and/or surface hoar buried 40 to 80 cm deep are most prominent on north-facing slopes. Avoid areas with a thin or variable (thin to thick) snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3

Wind Slabs

Gusty easterly winds will continue to redistribute loose snow.

Cornices are large and looming, give them space.

Aspects: North, North East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2