Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 28th, 2022–Nov 29th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Assess conditions as you travel - snow may hide reactive pockets or, more likely, early-season hazards.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, explosives triggered size 1-2 storm slabs and a natural storm slab avalanche cycle to size 1.5 was reported around the Spearhead backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

Strong southwest winds quickly impacted 15-40 cm weekend snowfall which mostly covered a crust (or bare rock) at upper elevations and moist snow and dirt at treeline and below.

Below the crust is 40-80 cm of early November snow which began covering surface roughness at upper elevations. The strength of this basal interface will become more evident with more field observations. Terrain features poke through a building snowpack that grows from 50-70 cm at treeline to 150 cm in the alpine. Below treeline is below the threshold for avalanches.

Weather Summary

Monday night

Clear and cold with increasing clouds. Light northeast wind, treeline low temperatures -20 C.

Tuesday

Cold. Flurries start in the afternoon, with substantial accumulations beginning overnight. Increasing southwest wind, treeline high temperature -12 C.

Wednesday

Winter storm beginning late Tuesday with precipitation likely falling as snow at most elevations. 15-30 mm by morning and another 15 mm through the day, South wind gusting above 70 k/h. Treeline high -8 C, freezing level staying below 500 m.

Thursday

Cold and clearing. Light northeast wind, treeling high temperature -12 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Winds, initially southwesterly then northerly, have polished open terrain and left stubborn wind slabs. Fresh slabs may form through Tuesday as wind increases ahead of the next weather system.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5