Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 18th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

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Strong winds and heavy precipitation will rapidly increase avalanche danger.

If you find greater than 30 cm accumulation, treat the danger as HIGH

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous size 1 skier triggered storm and wind slab avalanches were reported over the weekend. These avalanches were typically at treeline or above on north and east aspects. Reports indicate that the recent storm snow is not bonding well to the underlying weak layers as these avalanches were easy to trigger.

Snowpack Summary

New snow falls on 15 to 25 cm of snow from the weekend, which fell with southerly wind, forming deeper slabs on northerly aspects. In sheltered terrain this new snow may overlie soft, faceted snow or surface hoar. In exposed terrain it will overlie a sun crust or wind-affected snow.

At lower elevations a new crust likely exists below the storm snow.

A late-January weak layer (hard crust, facets, or surface hoar) is buried 80 to 120 cm deep, this layer could become reactive the more the precipitation adds load on it.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with up to 18 mm of mixed precipitation. 25 to 70 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1400 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 15 to 50 mm of mixed precipitation. 50 to 70 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1400 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 10 to 40 mm of mixed precipitation. 30 to 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1000 m.

Friday

Cloudy with 10 to 50 mm of mixed precipitation. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

The recent storm snow is not bonding well to the underlying weak layers. This problem is most prevelant at treeline and above in wind loaded features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 19th, 2025 4:00PM

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