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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 16th, 2025–Jan 17th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Lingering wind slabs may remain reactive to human-triggering in isolated locations below alpine ridgetops.

Start with small features before moving into bigger terrain.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Evidence of a natural loose wet and glide slab avalanche cycle that occurred on Wednesday continues to be reported. These avalanches were triggered by above 0°C temperatures and solar radiation.

On Tuesday, a size 1.5 skier-triggered wind slab avalanche was reported on a north aspect at 1900 m. The slab released on a weak layer of surface hoar below. This layer of surface hoar is spotty but may still be preserved in sheltered areas at treeline and in the subalpine.

Snowpack Summary

A few centimeters of snow cover a melt-freeze crust on solar aspects at all elevations, and up to 1900 m on northerly aspects. In the alpine and exposed treeline, this crust overlies old wind slabs and variable wind-affected surfaces. On sheltered north facing slopes above 1900 m, snow remains dry.

A weak layer of surface hoar or facets is found 10 to 25 cm deep. This layer is a concern where wind slabs have formed above it.

A crust is buried 60 to 100 cm deep and may have a layer of surface hoar sitting above it. Recent tests show this layer as unreactive.

The remainder of the mid and lower snowpack is well-settled.

Snow depths at treeline are roughly 100 to 150 cm.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy. 10 to 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. Freezing levels drop to the valley bottom.

Friday

Mainly sunny. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -9 °C.

Saturday

Partly cloudy. 5 to 10 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Sunday

Partly cloudy. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A hard crust on the snow surface will help strengthen the snowpack, but may cause tough travel conditions.
  • If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Reports of wind slab avalanche activity are decreasing however where wind slabs overlie a weak layer of facets or surface hoar they may remain reactive to human triggering.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5