Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Jasper, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.
Up to 25cm of new snow and strong winds have formed windslabs in leeward areas. Avalanches may have the potential to step down to deep persistent instabilities.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Avalanche control on Saturday December 7th produced windslabs up to size 2 near Parkers ridge.
At Marmot Basin size 2 avalanches have been produced that are failing on the facets above the October 18 melt-freeze crust, over the past couple days . These have been produced by large explosives in the alpine.
Weather Summary
Sunday
A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries (trace). Alpine High -8 °C with mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 45 km/h. Freezing level at valley bottom.
Monday
A mix of sun and cloud. Alpine Low -13 °C and High -10 °C. Ridge wind west (10 km/h). Freezing level at valley bottom.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present in the snowpack.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
Avalanche Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
This layer is most reactive where it has been loaded by wind transported snow. This problem includes the Oct 18 crust and the Nov 8th crust and surface hoar. There’s uncertainty around its distribution and sensitivity.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5
Wind Slabs
New snow and increased south and southwest winds have developed windslabs in leeward features. The new snow needs time to settle and bond. Avoid wind loaded pockets and avoid being under slopes that the wind is loading.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5