Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, South Coast Inland, Stein, Taseko.
Very large avalanches have occurred in the region over the past few days.
Stick to conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A widespread avalanche cycle has occurred in the region over the past two days with avalanches up to size 3.5 (very large) reported. In many cases, storm slabs or wet avalanches stepped down to deeper persistent weak layers.
With temperatures falling, natural avalanche activity is expected to taper off, but human-triggered avalanches remain likely at upper elevations.
Snowpack Summary
Recent rain and warming has created a moist/wet upper snowpack 40 to 50 cm deep, right to ridgetops. A crust will likely form as temperatures cool and a dusting of up to 5 cm of new snow falls overtop the moist/wet surface snow. Lingering wind slabs may still exist at upper elevations on wind-loaded northerly slopes. The early March weak layer of facets, or surface hoar on a crust, is now down 60 to 130 cm. Very large avalanches (up to size 3.5) were reported on this layer this past week. Weak layers formed in mid-February and late-January are now buried 140 to 200 cm deep.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with possible flurries up to 2 cm, or light rain below 1100 m. 10 to 25 km/h southeast ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level dropping to 1000 m.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow above 1500 m, possible rain below. 10 to 30 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level rising to 1800 m.
Saturday
A mix of sun and cloud. 10 to 30 km/h south ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1700 m.
Sunday
Sunny. 10 km/h southeast ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature +3 °C. Freezing level rising to 2000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Use conservative route selection and resist venturing into complex terrain.
- Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
- Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
- If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Watch out for wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests, rollovers, and in steep terrain. Wind slabs may remain reactive in isolated areas.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
Weak layers remain a concern, especially in north-facing terrain where snowpack depth is variable. Avoid steep and shallow rocky features where human-triggering is possible.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3