Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 16th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Dry and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada TJ, Avalanche Canada

Email

Most of the new snow fell to the north and east of the region. Investigate how the unconsolidated snowpack reacts to this new load before you commit to your ski line or ice climb.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Loose dry avalanches up to size 2 in very steep rocky alpine terrain were noted over the past few days. Some are scrubbing to ground. They do not appear to be initiating any deeper weakness' in the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

About 10cm of snow fell in the north and east section of the park with about 3cm around the Parker Ridge area. Tree line snowpack depth is an average of 45-75cm. The snowpack is weak and largely unsupportive after this cold weather.

Weather Summary

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: High -18 °C.

Ridge wind east: 10 km/h.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -25 °C, High -15 °C.

Light ridge wind.

The Mountain Weather Forecast is available at Avalanche Canada https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Loose avalanches may start small but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.

Problems

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

A handful of loose dry avalanches have occurred recently with one scrubbing to ground. They are currently limited to specific terrain such as very steep alpine rocky terrain yet enough of a concern if a person is standing below it or gets swept away. This currently is our most active problem.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

You must keep this basal layer on your radar as triggering is possible in isolated features, such as steep rocky terrain where you find yourself standing on the surface and not wallowing in facets, that's the problem slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 17th, 2024 4:00PM