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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 27th, 2024–Feb 28th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Tricky conditions exist.

Stick to conservative terrain and keep a wide berth from overhead hazard.

Remote avalanches continue and are propagating further than you may expect.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Natural, rider and remotely triggered slab avalanches up to size 2.5 continued to be reported over the past 3 days. Remote triggers indicate a very sensitive snowpack, highlighting the need for very conservative terrain choices right now.

Most recent avalanches occurred on north and east facing slopes at treeline and above. Avalanches have been mostly failing on the facets below the storm snow, while some occurred on the buried crust 50-100 cm deep.

Snowpack Summary

30-60 cm of recent snow has been redistributed by strong and variable winds at upper elevations. The wind-affected snow sits over facets, crust, and surface hoar in sheltered terrain. Reports show this is not bonding well, producing ongoing reactivity including remote avalanches.

A thick crust with weak facets on top is buried 50-100 cm deep. This layer has been problematic, producing step-down avalanches.

Below, the mid and lower snowpack is generally well-bonded and strong.

Weather Summary

Lower temperatures given are expected in the north of this region.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with 5-10 cm of snow. 60-90 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 to -16 °C.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and cloud. Flurries taper early in the morning. 20-40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 to -12 °C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud. Possible flurries 30-50 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 to -10 °C.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud. Possible flurries 20-30 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 to -10 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Choose conservative terrain and watch for clues of instability.
  • Stay off recently wind loaded slopes until they have had a chance to stabilize.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind affected snow can be found on most aspects. Watch for the 'typical' wind loaded features near ridgelines, and unusual features like cross-loaded gullies and ribs or wind deposited snow lower on slope than normal.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Two layers of concern exist in the upper metre of the snowpack, consisting of crust, facets and surface hoar. These are likely to be most reactive in sheltered north and east facing terrain, where weak layers are more easily preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5