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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 4th, 2025–Jan 5th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

A problematic weak layer has surprised riders and triggered large avalanches. Conservative terrain selection is your best defence against buried weak layers.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, explosives triggered several small size 1-1.5 wind slab avalanches, with crowns 20-40 cm deep.

Thursday and Friday, natural and rider-triggered wind slab avalanches to size 2 were reported.

A persistent weak layer has recently produced very large natural and human-triggered avalanches, including remote-triggering up to 1 km away. On the 28th this near miss surprised riders, and this MIN describes avalanches triggered from valley bottom.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of fresh snow covered older wind affected snow. Easterly winds have reverse loaded-features, and wind slabs can be found on various aspects. Soft snow still exists in sheltered terrain and in the trees.

Our primary concern is a persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets overlying a crust. It is buried 50 to 100 cm deep in the southern parts of the region and up to 200 cm deep in areas north of Stewart. Several recent large avalanches have failed on this layer producing wide propagation.

The lower snowpack is well settled, with no deeper layers of concern. Treeline snow depths are around 160 cm.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Cloudy with isolated flurries, trace to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy. 25 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Monday

Sunny. 30 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with flurries, up to 10 cm. 40 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Recent large avalanches have failed on weak grains over a buried crust. This weak layer has shown wide propagation across large terrain features.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

Recent winds have varied in direction. Watch for wind slabs on all aspects and use caution as you enter wind-affected terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5