Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Blue River, Cariboos, Clearwater, Clemina, McBride, North Monashee, Premier, Quesnel, Robson.
Avalanche activity continues as the recent storm snow is slow to stabilize.
Continue to choose conservative terrain, as the likelihood of triggering large avalanches remains elevated.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
On Friday near the southern boundary of the forecast region, numerous large to very large (size 3-4) persistent slab avalanches where triggered utilizing explosives. These avalanches ran far and in one case 1500 m. Near Mcbride, a few small to large (size 1-2) natural and human triggered avalanches where observed in both alpine and treeline . Near Valemount, a very large natural avalanche released (see photo for more info).
Snowpack Summary
60 to 90 cm of storm snow has accumulated over the past 7 days. All this snow overlies a hard melt-freeze crust found everywhere except north-facing slopes above 1600 m. There may also be isolated surface hoar crystals above the crust in wind-sheltered terrain around treeline. Southwest wind may have formed deeper and touchier deposits in lee terrain features at high elevations.
A weak layer of surface hoar and/or faceted grains buried mid-February is around 70 to 120 cm deep.
The lower snowpack is well-settled.
Weather Summary
Saturday Night
Clear becoming cloudy with 2 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.
Sunday
Cloudy with periods of sun in the afternoon 2 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
Monday
Cloudy with periods of sun in the afternoon 2 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy with periods of sun in the afternoon ,1 to 2 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Even brief periods of direct sun could produce natural avalanches.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
- Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
- Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
Avalanche Problems
Storm Slabs
Riders could trigger large avalanches where the 50 to 80 cm of recent snow is slow to bond to underlying layers of surface hoar and/or a hard crust. Slabs may also be touchy in immediate lee terrain features from new snow and strong wind.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3
Persistent Slabs
It remains possible that humans could trigger surface hoar and/or faceted grains that were buried mid-February, especially at high elevations where a thick crust doesn't exist above it.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5