Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, South Coast Inland, Stein, Taseko.
Forecast snow and southerly wind may form fresh wind slabs above the rain/snow line.
Watch for changing conditions throughout the day.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Loose wet avalanches triggered by rain have been observed in the region. On Sunday, a small wind slab was ski cut on a steep alpine north-facing slope. A large cornice failure was also observed.
See photo below for a note on persistent slabs.
Snowpack Summary
Fresh wind slabs may be forming at upper elevations in wind-loaded terrain near ridgetops. Freezing levels are uncertain, but currently the rain/snow line is expected to be around 1500 m. These slabs will overlie mostly crusty surfaces other than northerly aspects in the alpine, where the snow surface remained dry. Persistent weak layers from January, February, and March are buried 50 to 150 cm deep across the region, though their current reactivity remains uncertain. At lower elevations, the rain-saturated snowpack thins quickly with elevation.
Weather Summary
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with 0 to 10 cm snow above 1200 m, possible rain below. 25 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level dropping to 1300 m.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy, with isolated flurries, 0 to 5 cm above 1500 m, possible rain below. 15 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level rising to 1600 m.
Wednesday
Partly cloudy. 15 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1700 m.
Thursday
Mostly sunny. 30 to 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level rising to 2000 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind-affected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Cornice failures could trigger large and destructive avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Forecast snow and southerly wind may form fresh wind slabs at upper elevations.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
Human-triggered persistent slab avalanches may still be possible on high north-facing slopes. They are most likely to be triggered by cornice falls or smaller avalanches in motion.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Cornices
Cornices loom over ridgetops and may be triggered by rapid snow loading or people traveling along ridgelines.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5