Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 7 – 8, 2023Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 4 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Forecasted winds and new snow will keep the avalanche hazard in the Alpine and at Treeline elevated over the next few days.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    This problem will continue to grow with forecasted winds and snow. It could also easily trigger the persistent and deep persistent avalanche problems below.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    A varied slab sits over the December 17th facet layer. This problem is most significant in open tree line features and in the alpine where you can expect a stiffer, likely more reactive slab.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Avalanches initiating in the upper snowpack are likely to step down to this layer and gain significant mass.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A size 2.5 natural avalanche was observed off the north face of Mt. Kitchener on Thursday, Jan 5. Unable to identify the type of avalanche or failure plane due to visibility.

Snowpack Summary

A few centimeters of new snow around the icefields is now covering a widespread layer of surface hoar and a rain crust up to 1900m. Moderate to strong SW winds are also ongoing, and forming new wind slabs in lee features. The Dec 17th persistent weak layer is down 20-40cm in sheltered areas and remains a major concern, especially in wind loaded areas where thicker slabs are present. This all sits on the weak facets and depth hoar that make up the bottom half of the snowpack.

Click here to learn more about these tricky conditions.

Weather Summary

Saturday

Cloudy with scattered flurries.

Accumulation: 4 cm.

Alpine temperature: High -4 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15-30 km/h.

Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Sunday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C, High -6 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10-20 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Monday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -13 °C, High -8 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10-30 km/h.

Freezing level at valley bottom.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.

Regions covered