Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 9th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs, Loose Wet and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada MW, Avalanche Canada

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10-20mm of precipitation with strong SW wind and warm temperatures will rapidly increase the avalanche hazard overnight on Sunday.

The Icefields Parkway will be closed from 15:00-20:00h for avalanche control on Sunday. Check AB 511 for road status updates and be sure to confirm the Icefields Parkways is open before planning any travel Sunday PM- Monday.

Maligne Lake Rd will remain closed Sunday night. Check AB511 for an update Monday AM.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle is expected overnight on Sunday. This bulletin was written at 1300h to allow for avalanche control operations Sunday afternoon. No road patrol yet today.

Don't forget to post avalanche observations to the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Rapid loading on Sunday night will create a 15-30cm thick storm slab at higher elevations which will sit over old windslab. Below tree line, incoming precipitation will fall as rain which will saturate the snowpack and make wet loose avalanches very likely in areas still holding snow. The mid-pack consists of multiple layers of dense wind effected snow, sun crusts, and facets. Depth hoar and basal facets make up the base of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Sunday night

Periods of snow/rain.

Accumulation: 17 cm.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 25 km/h gusting to 70 km/h.

Freezing 1900m.

Monday

Flurries.

Accumulation: 6 cm.

Alpine temperature: High -3 °C.

Mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 45 km/h.

Freezing level: 1700 m

Tuesday

Flurries.

Accumulation: 6 cm.

Alpine temperature: Low -8 °C, High -3 °C.

Mostly light ridge wind occasionally gusting to 35 km/h.

Freezing level: 1700 m

Wednesday

Periods of snow.

5 to 10 cm.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind or rain.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Additional precipitation with strong SW winds will rapidly build storm slabs while adding to our wind slab problem on lee and cross-loaded features. This problem may extend into tree line if freezing levels are lower then current weather forecast predicts.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Weak overnight freezes, warm temperatures, and some rain / wet snow will keep this problem at the top of our list at tree line and below. Wet loose avalanches will likely step-down to our basal facets in steep terrain resulting in large avalanches

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snowpack is inherently weak with well-developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Storm /Wind slabs or wet loose avalanches could trigger the deep persistent slab resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Apr 10th, 2023 4:00PM