Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 30th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
jminifie,
Avalanche Canada
Watch for pockets of stiff wind slab at upper elevations from recent northerly winds. These slabs have formed in atypical areas and could be particularly reactive where they overlie a slick crust.
A skier-triggered deep persistent slab in the Birkenhead on Friday suggests that this deeply buried weak layer is still in play. Avoid steep, unsupported, and large connected pieces of terrain or places where the snowpack changes from deep to shallow as triggering deeper weak layers is easier in these places.
Summary
Confidence
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches were reported over the weekend.
On Friday, a size 2.5 skier-triggered deep persistent slab occurred in the Birkenhead. This avalanche was remotely triggered, meaning the skier was a distance away from the slab when it occurred (100 m above). It occurred on a wind-loaded slope in the alpine during a period of strong solar radiation. The crown was 150 cm deep.
Riders should be cautious around pockets of stiff wind slab at upper elevations. These slabs may fail easily where they overlie a slick crust and will be in more atypical locations, as northerly winds have created a reverse-loading pattern. Riders should also be aware of the potential for large and surprising deep persistent slab avalanches. These avalanches present a low probability, high consequence problem and are most likely to occur in rocky, shallow, wind-loaded terrain in the alpine or upper treeline.
Please continue to share any observations or photos on the Mountain Information Network.
Snowpack Summary
Northerly winds continued to affected open areas in the alpine and treeline, scouring windward slopes and creating pockets of wind slabs in lee areas. In sheltered areas, 10-20 cm of recent storm snow is facetting with cold temperatures. A surface crust can be found below 1800 m and all elevations steep solar aspects.
In the midpack, a weak layer can be found 50-100 cm deep, as a decomposing crust, or in many places, it's more of a soft and weak section of the snowpack. There is a widespread weak layer of facets and depth hoar at the bottom of the snowpack.
Generally, the snowpack in this region is weak and shallow. Snowpack depths around treeline are highly variable and range between 150 - 230 cm.
Weather Summary
Monday night
Becoming cloudy. Wind from the northwest at 20 km/h. Temperatures rise to -8˚C. 2-4 cm of new snow in the alpine.
Tuesday
Cloudy. Wind from the west at 20 km/h. Temperatures steady around -8˚C. 2-4 cm of new snow
Wednesday
Cloudy. Wind from the southwest 15 km/h. Alpine temperatures at -5˚C. 2-4 cm of new snow.
Thursday
A mix of sun and cloud. Wind from the southwest at 25 km/h. Alpine temperatures up to -2˚C. Freezing levels rising to 1000 m. No precipitation.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
- Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Northerly outflow winds have created stiff wind slabs at upper elevations. Watch for wind-loaded pockets, especially just below ridgetops and in extreme and very steep terrain. Wind slabs may be particularly reactive to where they overlie a slick crust.
Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
A layer of large and weak facets sits near the base of the snowpack. This layer is most likely to be problematic in steep, unsupported, wind-loaded terrain or by first triggering a layer further up in the snowpack.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 31st, 2023 4:00PM
