Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 26th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Parks Canada, Avalanche Canada

Email

Above freezing temperatures are forecasted for higher elevations over the next couple days. Carefully consider the over head hazard of your trip, especially if it is exposed to the sun.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Two relatively fresh size two slab avalanches were observed on the steep south facing aspects of Nigel Peak late in the afternoon of Jan 25.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread wind effect at alpine and treeline has formed wind slabs over a weak faceted mid pack. At the bottom of the snowpack are the early season crusts, which are faceting and often surrounded by large depth hoar. The snowpack is 70-130 cm in depth at treeline, and thins quickly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Monday

Sunny

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: High 2 °C.

Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -6 °C, High 0 °C.

Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.

Wednesday

Sunny with cloudy periods.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -7 °C, High -4 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Limit exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present in the snowpack.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

There is a large degree of uncertainty about how the snowpack will react to the forecasted above freezing temperatures in the alpine and tree line over the next couple days. Steep, rocky, and south facing slopes are prime suspects for surprising avalanches in these conditions.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A variety of crusts with facets above and below exist at the bottom of the snowpack. These layers are going to be with us for a long time and pose a low probability, high consequence situation if triggered.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Jan 27th, 2025 4:00PM

Login