Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 1st, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada DK, Avalanche Canada

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The deep persistent basal layers are showing a significant jump in sensitivity as wind transport continues to build on slabs at treeline and above.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A number of large avalanches up to size 3 have been observed and reported over the week. The snowpack is very sensitive to small inputs of new snow, loading, and changes in temperature. These avalanches are mostly from the alpine but are running through all elevation bands.

Don't forget to post avalanche observations to the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Previous new snow has been redistributed by SW winds at treeline and above. Ridge lines are scoured and recent natural activity suggests loading is happening lower in the start zones. Visible wind effect throughout the alpine.

The upper snowpack consists of 30-50 cm of settled snow or wind slab sitting on top of a generally weak mid and lower snowpack. Facets and depth hoar linger at the base of the snowpack with the height of snow varying from 60 to 160cm.

Weather Summary

Clearing overnight with light SW winds, gusting at ridge-top. Expecting seasonal temps and flurries through the day on Thursday with some (~5cm) accumulation.

Detailed weather forecasts from Avalanche Canada: https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent winds and new snow continue to build wind slabs in open areas. Previous north winds may have created some lingering wind slabs in abnormal locations due to reverse loading.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Natural avalanches continue to step down to this layer resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 2nd, 2023 4:00PM

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