Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada TJ, Avalanche Canada

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Strong to extreme winds are likely stripping exposed features. This intense wind can create wind slabs in places you don't usually expect them.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Two large avalanches noted in the Maligne and Churchill Ranges in the alpine on east facing slopes on Wednesday. No Patrol on Thursday.

Don't forget to post avalanche observations to the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to extreme winds are stripping exposed features and building cross loaded wind slabs in the alpine. Wind slab likely extend down into tree line. In sheltered locations 30cm of low density snow lies over a generally weak mid and bottom snowpack with facets and depth hoar at the base. The height of snow is variable from 50 to 150cm.

Weather Summary

Friday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: High -13 °C.

Ridge wind west: 15-35 km/h.

Saturday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -15 °C, High -9 °C.

Ridge wind west: 15-35 km/h.

Detailed weather forecasts from Avalanche Canada: https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Southwest winds have created wind slabs in the alpine and tree line.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Large natural and explosive triggered avalanches in the last couple of days have run on this layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2023 4:00PM