Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 15th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada TJ, Avalanche Canada

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If you like gentle alpine walks in the sunshine with no wind then Jasper is the place for you! Just be mindful of the lurking persistent and deep persistent problems.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been observed

Snowpack Summary

In sheltered areas 15 - 25cm of snow overlies the Feb 3rd crust, which ranges from 1-3cm thick in the alpine. On shaded aspects it exists up to 2500m and is breaking down due to the cold temperatures. On solar aspects it is up to 2800m. At lower elevations it is 15-20cm thick. The Persistent and Deep Persistent weak layers continue to produce whoomphing and sudden fractures in tests.

Weather Summary

Friday

Sunny with cloudy periods.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: High -5 °C.

Light ridge wind.

Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Saturday

Sunny with cloudy periods.

Precipitation: Nil.

Alpine temperature: Low -5 °C, High -2 °C.

Light ridge wind.

Freezing level: 2000 metres.

The Mountain Weather Forecast is available at Avalanche Canada https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of runout zones.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

This weak layer, buried 20-40cm deep, is still reactive in snowpit tests and human triggering remains possible, particularly in shallow rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The base of the snowpack is inherently weak and untrustworthy. Human and natural triggering of these basal facets remains possible.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Feb 16th, 2024 4:00PM

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