Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 15th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

Email

Numerous large persistent slab avalanches have been triggered by riders this past week.

Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well-supported, low-consequence lines.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous naturally triggered small (size 1) loose dry and wind slab avalanches were reported at upper elevations on Friday.

Two persistent slab avalanches were reported northwest of Terrace on Wednesday. A skier triggered size 2 on a north aspect in the alpine and a size 2.5 on an east aspect in the alpine that was triggered by solar radiation. Both failed on a layer of weak facets and/or surface hoar down 40-50 cm.

A fatal avalanche occurred north of Stewart on Tuesday. It was a skier-triggered size 3 persistent slab avalanche that occurred on a northeast aspect in the alpine.

Two additional skier-triggered size 2-2.5 persistent slab avalanches were also reported on northerly aspects at treeline and above on Tuesday. The depth of the weak layer was around 60-80 cm.

Snowpack Summary

5-20 cm of new snow and strong south wind have formed fresh wind slabs reactive to human triggers on lee features at treeline and above.

Two buried weak layers are down 40-120 cm deep in most areas. They include facets and surface hoar in shaded areas, and a melt-freeze crust elsewhere. Numerous human triggered persistent slab avalanches have occurred on these layers this week.

The mid and lower snowpack are considered generally strong and well-bonded. In the far northern reaches of the region, basal facets may exist which are currently considered inactive. This layer may become active with abrupt changes to the snowpack, such as rapid loading (heavy snowfall or rain) or prolonged warming.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy with flurries; 3-10 cm / 20 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -5 C / Freezing level valley bottom

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm / 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -4 C / Freezing level 1100 m

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud / 10 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -4 C / Freezing level 1100 m

Tuesday

Mix of sun and cloud / 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -3 C / Freezing level 1200 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low-angle, well-supported terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Buried layers from late March reached a tipping point and recently became reactive.

The primary concern is a layer of facets and surface hoar buried 50-90 cm on shaded slopes. On other slopes, this layer is a crust with facets above. Avoid steep open slopes capable of producing large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Recent snow and strong south wind have formed fresh wind slabs on lee features at treeline and above.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Apr 16th, 2023 4:00PM