Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Jasper, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.
Natural avalanche activity may be less likely now that the winds are easing off, but the possibility of a rider triggering the persistent and deep persistent avalanche problems remains high.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been observed in the last 48 hours, but visibility of the the alpine has been poor.
Snowpack Summary
Extensive wind effect from strong to extreme SW winds is present in open areas, and thin crusts have formed on solar aspects and lower elevations. A layer of faceted snow above a 1-3cm thick crust is down 35-60 cm. This persistent weak layer is consistently reactive in snowpit tests and is not going away anytime soon. Well developed basal depth hoar makes up the bottom third of the snowpack. HS ranges from 80 to 130cm.
Weather Summary
Mountain Weather Forecast is available @ Avalanche Canada https://avalanche.ca/weather/forecast
Parker Ridge - Monday
Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.
Precipitation: Trace.
Alpine temperature: High -7 °C.
Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 40 km/h.
Freezing level at valley bottom.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.
- If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Recently formed wind slabs will need some time to bond.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
This problem layer is the crust and facets created by early February's warm spell. It is down 30-80 cm in the snowpack and is a 1-10 cm thick crust or multiple crusts with a layer of weak facets above.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5
Deep Persistent Slabs
The base of the snowpack is inherently weak and untrustworthy. Tickling this deep layer would result in a high consequence avalanche. Any avalanche in the upper snowpack has the potential to step down to the base of the snowpack.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1.5 - 3.5