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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 30th, 2024–Jan 31st, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

The upper snowpack has been rain-soaked and weakened, and it will remain so in areas with above-freezing temperatures.

Confidence

Moderate

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack remains largely saturated and weakened by recent rain. In the alpine, the snow surface may have begun to refreeze.

The mid and lower snowpack consists of variable layers of crusts and faceted snow.

Overall the snowpack remains unusually shallow and continues to melt at lower elevations.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 20 to 40 km/h, freezing level around 2200 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with trace precipitation, south alpine winds 20 to 40 km/h, freezing level around 2000 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with up to 5 mm of a mix of rain and snow, south alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, freezing level around 1800 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with no trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, freezing level around 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

The upper snowpack has been rain-soaked and weakened by recent warm temperatures and rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers are particularly concerning where recent rain has soaked the upper snowpack, reaching down to old crusts. Predicting these avalanches is especially challenging, and triggering them may have serious consequences.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3