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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 19th, 2024–Mar 20th, 2024
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Choose mellow terrain and avoid being under steep slopes.

Where a thick surface crust is present, large slab avalanches are less likely.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Through the weekend, a widespread natural avalanche cycle up to size 3 continued. Most reports aren't specific, as many operations didn't venture very far. Loose wet and persistent slab avalanches are most likely.

Looking ahead, in areas where you find a thick surface crust, avalanche activity is less likely.

Snowpack Summary

Above 1000 m, up to 10 cm of new snow will likely overlie a firm crust. Expect to find wet surface snow at low elevations.

Two layers of surface hoar and sun crust can be found in the top meter of the snowpack. One from late February and the other from early March.

A thick and hard widespread crust that formed in early February is buried about 70 to 130 cm deep. This crust has a layer of facets above it in many areas.

The snowpack below this crust is generally not concerning except in shallow alpine terrain.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with up to 5 mm, falling as snow above 1000 m. 10 km/h west ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures -3 °C. Freezing level drops to 1500 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 5 mm, falling as snow above 1000 m. 10 km/h northwest ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures -3 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow to valley bottom, greatest in the North Monashees. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures -6 °C. Freezing level 500 m.

Friday

Partly cloudy. 10 km/h northwest ridgetop winds. Treeline temperatures -8 °C. Freezing level drops to surface.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • The more the snow feels like a slurpy, the more likely loose wet avalanches will become.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Two weak layers exist in the upper snowpack. One is down 40 cm and another down 70 to 130 cm. These layers could remain reactive to human triggering in areas where the surface has not refrozen into a thick, supportive crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5

Loose Wet

Rain-on-snow and warm temperatures may continue to produce wet loose avalanches, especially on steep slopes facing the sun. These may step-down and trigger deeper slab avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5