Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 6 – 9, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 months ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Up to 15cm of new snow is expected by Wednesday morning. Winds are also forecast to increase, which will create new wind slabs across the region.

Keep the deep persistent layer in mind, especially in thin or rocky terrain, where it is easiest to trigger.

Sheltered areas will offer the best skiing and riding conditions.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Previous winds from various directions has created winds labs across the region. Up to 15cm of new snow by Wednesday accompanied by moderate to strong SW winds will create new wind slabs in lee features.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    Be cautious where the snowpack transitions from thick areas to thin areas. Recent avalanches up to size 3 have been observed on this layer. This problem encompasses multiple weak layers of facets, crusts, and basal facets from November and December.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the fact that deep persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Avalanche Summary

Jan 2- A natural 2.5 deep persistent avalanche was observed at Parkers Ridge, likely triggered by cornice fall.

Jan 4- A natural 2.5 deep persistent avalanche was observed on Mt. Morden Long.

Snowpack Summary

Winds have redistributed snow into windslabs in alpine and open treeline areas. The midpack is supportive and sits above 40-60 cm of faceted snow that makes up the lower snowpack. Basal facets and an early season melt freeze crust are located ~30cm off of the ground and remain active as a weak layer in the snowpack.

Average snow depth in the Icefields Parkway area is 140-200cm and in the Maligne area average depth is 100cm.

Weather Summary

Tuesday

Up to 9cm new snow.

Alpine temperature: High -9 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h gusting to 50 km/h.

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries.

Accumulation: 4 cm snow.

Alpine temperature: Low -14 °C, High -9 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Thursday

Cloudy with scattered flurries.

Accumulation: 4 cm.

Alpine temperature: Low -15 °C, High -12 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h gusting to 60 km/h.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Regions covered