Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 22nd, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Loose Wet and Deep Persistent Slabs.
mbender,
Avalanche Canada
The weather pattern changes after another sunny day on Thursday.
Minimize your exposure to steep, rocky terrain facing the sun during the warmest part of the day.
Summary
Confidence
High
Avalanche Summary
Numerous size 1-1.5 wet loose avalanches triggered by solar radiation were reported on sunny aspects at upper elevations on Monday and Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
Expect to find a melt-freeze crust on the surface of all aspects at treeline and below and on sunny aspects in the alpine. Solar radiation will break down the crust on sunny slopes throughout the day.
Lingering wind slabs may remain reactive to human triggers in isolated locations at upper elevations.
The middle of the snowpack is generally well-settled and strong.
A weak layer of large facets is found near the base of the snowpack. This layer is of most significant concern in shallow snowpack areas in the north and east of the region. The most likely areas to trigger this layer are shallow, rocky areas or where the snowpack transitions from thin to thick.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear / 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -7 C / Freezing level at valley bottom
Thursday
Mix of sun and cloud / 20 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -3 C / Freezing level 1700m
Friday
Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-3 cm / 10 km/h east ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -6 C / Freezing level 1100m
Saturday
mostly cloudy with isolated flurries / 20 km/h west ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -5 C / Freezing level 1200m
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet
- Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
- Cornice failure may trigger large avalanches.
- In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.
Problems
Loose Wet
Strong solar radiation will increase the likelihood of wet loose avalanches on sunny aspects in the alpine.
Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
A weak layer of facets exists near the base of the snowpack. The likelihood of human triggering is low given the layer's depth, but large triggers such as cornice failures or smaller avalanches in motion have the potential to produce very large avalanches with surprisingly wide propagation. Suspect terrain for human triggering includes steep, shallow, and rocky terrain where the snowpack transitions from thin to thick.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 23rd, 2023 4:00PM
