Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 19th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Parks Canada, Avalanche Canada

Email

Keep your overhead hazard to a minimum. Large avalanches running to ground in the alpine have been observed in Jasper as a result of the new snow and winds.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several avalanches were observed along the Churchill Range on east faces in alpine up to size 2.5 and running to ground. Some of these avalanches were caused by falling cornices.

Snowpack Summary

15-20 cm of snow fell on Wednesday at the Parker Ridge Area. The 7mm Surface Hoar that formed last week is likely flattened by winds but assume it could be preserved under new snow in sheltered locations. The mid and lower snow pack has multiple layers of surface hoar in sheltered terrain, melt freeze crusts and facets.

Weather Summary

Friday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: High -4 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 15-35 km/h.

Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Saturday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries.

Precipitation: Trace.

Alpine temperature: Low -4 °C, High -3 °C.

Ridge wind southwest: 10-30 km/h.

Freezing level: 1800 metres.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present in the snowpack.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Small avalanches may cause climbers to fall or bury belayers and gear.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New snow and strong winds have created new wind slabs. Avoid wind loaded large unsupported terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A variety of crusts with facets above and below exist at the bottom of the snowpack. These layers are going to be with us for along time and pose a low probability, high consequence situation if triggered.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Dec 20th, 2024 4:00PM

Login